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Imagine two scenarios.
Company A
Company A has strong management team who are focused on increasing returns on invested capital. Current cash flows are €3 billion per year, and top-line growth of 4% and EPS growth of 14% suggests even stronger cash flows down the road. Meanwhile, the industry is stable and growing secularly, and Company A holds the number one position in all three of its key geographies; and yet the sell-side analysts are bearish, anchored to a stale accounting-short thesis.
Company B
Company B also has strong management team who are focused on increasing returns on invested capital. Current cash flows are €3 billion per year, and top-line growth of 4% and EPS growth of 14% suggests even stronger cash flows down the road. Meanwhile, the industry is stable and growing secularly, and Company B holds the number one position in all three of its key geographies; and yet the sell-side analysts are bearish, anchored to a stale accounting-short thesis.
Company A is trading on a 2019 P/E of 21x, while Company B is trading on a 2019 P/E of 13x.
Which one are you going to buy, Company A or Company B?
Everything else being equal, we’d all like to buy the same thing at a lower price. At least on that much, value and growth investors should agree.
FOOTNOTES
DISCLAIMER
The views and opinions expressed in this post are those of the post’s author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Albert Bridge Capital, or its affiliates. This post has been provided solely for information purposes and does not constitute an offer or solicitation of an offer or any advice or recommendation to purchase any securities or other financial instruments and may not be construed as such. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy or completeness of any information in this post or found by following any link in this post.
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Here We Go
I will try as always to be objective here, but maybe some bias will be revealed in the process. I hope not, and I am sure you will let me know if I do. Given how politically charged things can be these days, I am bound to upset someone. That is not my intention. Not one bit. I am trying to help. I’m trying to help our investors. I’m trying to help my friends. I’m trying to help myself.
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